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Pritzker’s Crime Narrative Falls Apart After FBI Data Exposes the Truth

Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker faced a tense on-air moment when Fox News host Bret Baier fact-checked his claims about Chicago’s crime rate in real time, exposing discrepancies between the governor’s statements and federal homicide data.

Appearing on Special Report, Pritzker attempted to defend his record on public safety by claiming that Chicago’s murder rate “has been cut in half” and that the city is “not in the top 30” nationally. Baier then displayed an FBI crime data map on screen showing Chicago’s 2024 homicide rate at 17.47 murders per 100,000 residents—the highest among America’s largest cities.

“Does Chicago have the highest murder rate of all the big cities?” Baier asked.

“Well, we are not in the top 30 in terms of our murder rate,” Pritzker replied confidently. “Indeed, our murder rate has been cut in half over the last four years, and every year it’s gone down by double digits.”

Baier immediately interjected, pointing to the chart showing Chicago ranked above Philadelphia, Houston, Dallas, San Antonio, Phoenix, Los Angeles, and New York.

“Governor, here’s a map — Chicago, number one, 17.47 per 100,000 population,” Baier said.

Pritzker, visibly taken aback, attempted to shift the discussion. “What I’m explaining to you is when you want to fight crime… now, you’re talking about violent crime. Look, you can pull statistics up,” he said, before insisting again that “our murder rate has been cut in half.”

The on-screen data contradicted the governor’s assertion. According to the FBI’s 2024 Uniform Crime Report, Chicago recorded the nation’s highest homicide rate among major metropolitan areas and once again led the country in total murders — a distinction it has held for much of the past decade.

While violent crime overall has declined modestly in the city since 2021, analysts say that is largely due to reductions in assault and robbery, not homicide. The number of killings in Chicago still far exceeds other cities with larger or comparable populations.

Pritzker, who has positioned himself as one of the Democratic Party’s loudest critics of Trump’s federal crime policies, has often cited falling violent-crime averages as evidence of progress under his administration. But law enforcement officials in the state say homicide trends tell a different story.

“The rate may have dipped in certain neighborhoods, but overall, Chicago remains the most dangerous large city in the country by total murders,” said one former Chicago police commander.

Legal and ethics experts said that while Pritzker’s misstatement is unlikely to have legal repercussions, it raises concerns about accuracy and transparency in official communications. The Illinois Governmental Ethics Act (5 ILCS 430) requires state officials to act in a way that “promotes public confidence in the integrity of government.” Misrepresenting crime data, even in a political interview, can erode that confidence, experts warned.

“Public officials have a duty to communicate accurate information about issues that directly affect citizens’ safety,” said David Yellen, former chair of the Illinois Ethics Commission. “There’s a fine line between political spin and material misrepresentation — and when it comes to public safety statistics, that line matters.”

Legal analysts also noted that public misstatements about crime can have tangible consequences, affecting everything from federal policing grants to community trust. Federal funding for local law enforcement and anti-violence programs is tied to statistical reporting, and downplaying crime rates could influence how resources are allocated.

Pritzker’s comments also come at a politically sensitive moment, as the White House has pressed state and local officials to cooperate with new federal enforcement actions following rising gang violence and repeated clashes between ICE officers and protesters. Trump administration officials have accused Democratic governors, including Pritzker, of obstructing those efforts for political reasons.

Asked afterward about the exchange, a spokesperson for Pritzker’s office said the governor “was referring to the downward trend in violent crime categories overall, not to the raw homicide rate.” They added that “Illinois has made real progress in reducing violence and increasing accountability.”

President Trump, responding on social media late Thursday, wrote simply: “Chicago — #1 again. The people deserve better.”